Match Analysis

WalesvsNorway

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

25%
26%
49%
Wales winDrawNorway win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game0.60
0.52Avg goals scored1.46
1.24Avg goals conceded2.00
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Wales xG

Expected goals

1.5

Norway xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

12%

1–1

12%

0–2

9%

1–2

9%

0–0

8%

1–0

8%

Home

Wales

Wales

LWLLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Norway

Norway

LLLWL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Wales vs Norway?

Norway is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Wales's current form?

Wales have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Wales Win25%
Draw26%
Norway Win49%
BTTS49%
Over 2.546%