Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Wales xG
Expected goals
1.5
Norway xG
49%
Both Teams to Score
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
12%
1–1
12%
0–2
9%
1–2
9%
0–0
8%
1–0
8%
Home
Wales
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.2
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Away
Norway
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.5 / 2.0
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Wales vs Norway?
Norway is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Wales's current form?
Wales have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from UEFA Nations League