Match Analysis

WalesvsDenmark

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

18%
23%
59%
Wales winDrawDenmark win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.80
0.52Avg goals scored1.73
1.24Avg goals conceded1.72
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Wales xG

Expected goals

1.7

Denmark xG

45%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

14%

0–2

12%

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–0

8%

0–3

7%

Home

Wales

Wales

LWLLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Denmark

Denmark

WLWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.7

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Wales vs Denmark?

Denmark is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Wales's current form?

Wales have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Wales Win18%
Draw23%
Denmark Win59%
BTTS45%
Over 2.546%