Match Analysis

UkrainevsNorthern Ireland

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

20%
33%
47%
Ukraine winDrawNorthern Ireland win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.60
0.50Avg goals scored1.00
1.32Avg goals conceded0.00
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Ukraine xG

Expected goals

1.1

Northern Ireland xG

30%

Both Teams to Score

24%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

20%

0–0

18%

1–1

12%

0–2

11%

1–0

11%

1–2

7%

Home

Ukraine

Ukraine

LLDWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Ukraine vs Northern Ireland?

Northern Ireland is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Ukraine's current form?

Ukraine have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Ukraine Win20%
Draw33%
Northern Ireland Win47%
BTTS30%
Over 2.524%