Match Analysis

UkrainevsHungary

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

12%
40%
48%
Ukraine winDrawHungary win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.00
0.50Avg goals scored0.80
1.32Avg goals conceded0.50
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Ukraine xG

Expected goals

0.9

Hungary xG

15%

Both Teams to Score

12%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

30%

0–1

27%

0–2

12%

1–0

9%

1–1

8%

0–3

4%

Home

Ukraine

Ukraine

LLDWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Hungary

Hungary

WWDLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Ukraine vs Hungary?

Hungary is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Ukraine's current form?

Ukraine have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (30% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 15%. Over 2.5 goals: 12%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Ukraine Win12%
Draw40%
Hungary Win48%
BTTS15%
Over 2.512%