Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.3
Ukraine xG
Expected goals
1.3
Georgia xG
19%
Both Teams to Score
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
26%
0–0
20%
0–2
17%
1–1
8%
0–3
7%
1–0
6%
Home
Ukraine
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.3
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Georgia
PPG
1.00
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Ukraine vs Georgia?
Georgia is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Ukraine's current form?
Ukraine have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (26% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 19%. Over 2.5 goals: 22%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from UEFA Nations League