Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.6
Türkiye xG
Expected goals
4
Italy xG
44%
Both Teams to Score
84%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
11%
0–4
11%
0–5
9%
0–2
8%
1–3
6%
1–4
6%
Home
Türkiye
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.5 / 2.8
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Away
Italy
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.2
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Türkiye vs Italy?
Italy is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Türkiye's current form?
Türkiye have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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