Match Analysis

TürkiyevsFrance

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
3%
94%
Türkiye winDrawFrance win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game2.00
0.51Avg goals scored1.81
2.78Avg goals conceded0.53
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Türkiye xG

Expected goals

4

France xG

25%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

14%

0–4

14%

0–5

12%

0–2

11%

0–1

5%

1–3

4%

Home

Türkiye

Türkiye

LLLLW

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.8

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

France

France

WDWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Türkiye vs France?

France is favored with a 94% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Türkiye's current form?

Türkiye have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Türkiye Win3%
Draw3%
France Win94%
BTTS25%
Over 2.580%