Match Analysis

TürkiyevsBelgium

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

4%
8%
88%
Türkiye winDrawBelgium win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.20
0.51Avg goals scored1.50
2.78Avg goals conceded1.33
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Türkiye xG

Expected goals

3.4

Belgium xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

12%

0–2

11%

0–4

10%

0–5

7%

1–3

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Türkiye

Türkiye

LLLLW

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.8

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Belgium

Belgium

LWLWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Türkiye vs Belgium?

Belgium is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Türkiye's current form?

Türkiye have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Türkiye Win4%
Draw8%
Belgium Win88%
BTTS44%
Over 2.576%