Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
Sweden xG
Expected goals
0.4
Romania xG
32%
Both Teams to Score
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
13%
4–0
13%
2–0
10%
5–0
10%
1–0
5%
3–1
5%
Home
Sweden
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.7 / 0.7
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Romania
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.7 / 3.2
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sweden vs Romania?
Sweden is favored with a 93% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sweden's current form?
Sweden have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 32%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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