Match Analysis

SwedenvsRomania

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

93%
4%
3%
Sweden winDrawRomania win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.60
1.71Avg goals scored0.71
0.73Avg goals conceded3.24
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Sweden xG

Expected goals

0.4

Romania xG

32%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

13%

4–0

13%

2–0

10%

5–0

10%

1–0

5%

3–1

5%

Home

Sweden

Sweden

WDWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Romania

Romania

LLLLW

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.7 / 3.2

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sweden vs Romania?

Sweden is favored with a 93% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sweden's current form?

Sweden have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 32%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sweden Win93%
Draw4%
Romania Win3%
BTTS32%
Over 2.581%