Match Analysis

SwedenvsBosnia-Herzegovina

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
30%
27%
Sweden winDrawBosnia-Herzegovina win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.60
1.71Avg goals scored1.49
0.73Avg goals conceded0.74
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Sweden xG

Expected goals

0.9

Bosnia-Herzegovina xG

41%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

15%

1–1

13%

0–0

12%

0–1

11%

2–0

9%

2–1

8%

Home

Sweden

Sweden

WDWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina

WDWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sweden vs Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Sweden is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sweden's current form?

Sweden have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sweden Win43%
Draw30%
Bosnia-Herzegovina Win27%
BTTS41%
Over 2.535%