Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
Spain xG
Expected goals
3.6
England xG
83%
Both Teams to Score
91%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–3
6%
2–3
6%
1–2
5%
1–4
5%
2–2
5%
2–4
5%
Home
Spain
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
3.0 / 1.2
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
England
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.6 / 0.7
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Spain vs England?
England is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Spain's current form?
Spain have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 83%. Over 2.5 goals: 91%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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