Match Analysis

SloveniavsScotland

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

63%
25%
12%
Slovenia winDrawScotland win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.00
1.29Avg goals scored0.79
0.79Avg goals conceded1.27
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Slovenia xG

Expected goals

0.5

Scotland xG

31%

Both Teams to Score

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

20%

2–0

15%

0–0

14%

1–1

10%

2–1

8%

3–0

8%

Home

Slovenia

Slovenia

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Scotland

Scotland

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Slovenia vs Scotland?

Slovenia is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Slovenia's current form?

Slovenia have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Slovenia Win63%
Draw25%
Scotland Win12%
BTTS31%
Over 2.532%