Match Analysis

SloveniavsNorth Macedonia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

81%
12%
7%
Slovenia winDrawNorth Macedonia win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.20
1.28Avg goals scored0.00
0.79Avg goals conceded2.50
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3

Slovenia xG

Expected goals

0.8

North Macedonia xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

3–0

10%

2–1

8%

3–1

8%

4–0

8%

1–0

7%

Home

Slovenia

Slovenia

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

North Macedonia

North Macedonia

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Slovenia vs North Macedonia?

Slovenia is favored with a 81% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Slovenia's current form?

Slovenia have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Slovenia Win81%
Draw12%
North Macedonia Win7%
BTTS52%
Over 2.573%