Match Analysis

SlovakiavsMoldova

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

94%
4%
2%
Slovakia winDrawMoldova win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.20
2.29Avg goals scored0.75
0.50Avg goals conceded2.05
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Slovakia xG

Expected goals

0.3

Moldova xG

25%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

14%

4–0

14%

5–0

12%

2–0

11%

1–0

5%

3–1

4%

Home

Slovakia

Slovakia

DDWWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Moldova

Moldova

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Slovakia vs Moldova?

Slovakia is favored with a 94% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Slovakia's current form?

Slovakia have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Slovakia Win94%
Draw4%
Moldova Win2%
BTTS25%
Over 2.580%