Match Analysis

SlovakiavsKazakhstan

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

91%
6%
3%
Slovakia winDrawKazakhstan win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.40
2.29Avg goals scored1.27
0.50Avg goals conceded1.77
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.8

Slovakia xG

Expected goals

0.5

Kazakhstan xG

38%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

12%

4–0

12%

2–0

10%

5–0

9%

3–1

6%

4–1

6%

Home

Slovakia

Slovakia

DDWWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?

Slovakia is favored with a 91% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Slovakia's current form?

Slovakia have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Slovakia Win91%
Draw6%
Kazakhstan Win3%
BTTS38%
Over 2.580%