Match Analysis

SerbiavsNetherlands

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

8%
13%
79%
Serbia winDrawNetherlands win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.60
0.74Avg goals scored1.77
2.00Avg goals conceded1.26
0–0–5Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Serbia xG

Expected goals

2.9

Netherlands xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

9%

0–3

9%

1–2

8%

1–3

8%

0–4

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Serbia

Serbia

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

Netherlands

Netherlands

WDWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Serbia vs Netherlands?

Netherlands is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Serbia's current form?

Serbia have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Serbia Win8%
Draw13%
Netherlands Win79%
BTTS56%
Over 2.573%