Match Analysis

SerbiavsGreece

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

9%
19%
72%
Serbia winDrawGreece win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.60
0.74Avg goals scored1.22
2.00Avg goals conceded0.75
0–0–5Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Serbia xG

Expected goals

2

Greece xG

34%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

16%

0–2

16%

0–3

11%

0–0

8%

1–1

8%

1–2

8%

Home

Serbia

Serbia

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

Greece

Greece

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Serbia vs Greece?

Greece is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Serbia's current form?

Serbia have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 34%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Serbia Win9%
Draw19%
Greece Win72%
BTTS34%
Over 2.546%