Match Analysis

SerbiavsGermany

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

10%
31%
59%
Serbia winDrawGermany win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.00
0.74Avg goals scored0.75
2.00Avg goals conceded0.47
0–0–5Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Serbia xG

Expected goals

1.2

Germany xG

18%

Both Teams to Score

19%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

27%

0–0

22%

0–2

16%

1–1

8%

1–0

7%

0–3

6%

Home

Serbia

Serbia

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

Germany

Germany

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 0.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Serbia vs Germany?

Germany is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Serbia's current form?

Serbia have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (27% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 18%. Over 2.5 goals: 19%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Serbia Win10%
Draw31%
Germany Win59%
BTTS18%
Over 2.519%