Match Analysis

ScotlandvsNorth Macedonia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

51%
23%
26%
Scotland winDrawNorth Macedonia win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.20
0.79Avg goals scored0.00
1.27Avg goals conceded2.50
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Scotland xG

Expected goals

1.3

North Macedonia xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–0

8%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Scotland

Scotland

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

North Macedonia

North Macedonia

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Scotland vs North Macedonia?

Scotland is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Scotland's current form?

Scotland have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Scotland Win51%
Draw23%
North Macedonia Win26%
BTTS61%
Over 2.560%