San Marinovs
Finland
UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.3
San Marino xG
Expected goals
4
Finland xG
25%
Both Teams to Score
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
14%
0–4
14%
0–5
12%
0–2
11%
0–1
5%
1–3
4%
Home
San Marino
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
0.3 / 3.9
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Away
Finland
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.1 / 0.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win San Marino vs Finland?
Finland is favored with a 94% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is San Marino's current form?
San Marino have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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