Match Analysis

RomaniavsPoland

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
6%
91%
Romania winDrawPoland win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.00
0.71Avg goals scored1.79
3.24Avg goals conceded1.00
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.7

Romania xG

Expected goals

4

Poland xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

10%

0–4

10%

0–5

8%

0–2

7%

1–3

7%

1–4

7%

Home

Romania

Romania

LLLLW

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.7 / 3.2

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Poland

Poland

LWLDD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Romania vs Poland?

Poland is favored with a 91% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Romania's current form?

Romania have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Romania Win3%
Draw6%
Poland Win91%
BTTS49%
Over 2.585%