Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.7
Portugal xG
Expected goals
0.4
Wales xG
31%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
16%
3–0
15%
1–0
12%
4–0
10%
2–1
7%
3–1
6%
Home
Portugal
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.0
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Wales
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.2
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Portugal vs Wales?
Portugal is favored with a 84% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Portugal's current form?
Portugal have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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