Match Analysis

PortugalvsNorway

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

85%
9%
6%
Portugal winDrawNorway win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game0.60
2.29Avg goals scored1.46
1.03Avg goals conceded2.00
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Portugal xG

Expected goals

1.2

Norway xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

89%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–1

7%

4–1

7%

3–0

6%

4–0

6%

5–1

6%

2–1

5%

Home

Portugal

Portugal

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Norway

Norway

LLLWL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Portugal vs Norway?

Portugal is favored with a 85% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Portugal's current form?

Portugal have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 89%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Portugal Win85%
Draw9%
Norway Win6%
BTTS69%
Over 2.589%