Match Analysis

PortugalvsDenmark

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

78%
12%
10%
Portugal winDrawDenmark win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game1.80
2.29Avg goals scored1.73
1.03Avg goals conceded1.72
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.7

Portugal xG

Expected goals

1.4

Denmark xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–1

7%

4–1

7%

2–1

6%

3–0

5%

3–2

5%

4–0

5%

Home

Portugal

Portugal

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Denmark

Denmark

WLWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.7

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Portugal vs Denmark?

Portugal is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Portugal's current form?

Portugal have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Portugal Win78%
Draw12%
Denmark Win10%
BTTS73%
Over 2.588%