Match Analysis

NorwayvsWales

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
24%
19%
Norway winDrawWales win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game0.60
1.46Avg goals scored0.52
2.00Avg goals conceded1.24
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Norway xG

Expected goals

0.8

Wales xG

45%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

14%

2–0

12%

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

0–0

8%

0–1

7%

Home

Norway

Norway

LLLWL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Wales

Wales

LWLLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Norway vs Wales?

Norway is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Norway's current form?

Norway have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Norway Win57%
Draw24%
Wales Win19%
BTTS45%
Over 2.546%