Match Analysis

NorwayvsDenmark

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
18%
49%
Norway winDrawDenmark win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.80
1.46Avg goals scored1.73
2.00Avg goals conceded1.73
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Norway xG

Expected goals

2.8

Denmark xG

85%

Both Teams to Score

89%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–2

6%

2–3

6%

1–2

5%

1–3

5%

3–2

5%

3–3

5%

Home

Norway

Norway

LLLWL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Denmark

Denmark

WLWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.7

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Norway vs Denmark?

Denmark is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Norway's current form?

Norway have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 85%. Over 2.5 goals: 89%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Norway Win33%
Draw18%
Denmark Win49%
BTTS85%
Over 2.589%