Match Analysis

North MacedoniavsScotland

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
24%
41%
North Macedonia winDrawScotland win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game1.00
0.00Avg goals scored0.79
2.50Avg goals conceded1.27
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

North Macedonia xG

Expected goals

1.6

Scotland xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

0–2

6%

Home

North Macedonia

North Macedonia

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Scotland

Scotland

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win North Macedonia vs Scotland?

Scotland is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is North Macedonia's current form?

North Macedonia have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

North Macedonia Win35%
Draw24%
Scotland Win41%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%