Match Analysis

NetherlandsvsSerbia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

85%
10%
5%
Netherlands winDrawSerbia win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.00
1.77Avg goals scored0.74
1.26Avg goals conceded2.00
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)0–0–5

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.3

Netherlands xG

Expected goals

0.8

Serbia xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

10%

2–0

9%

3–1

8%

4–0

8%

2–1

7%

4–1

7%

Home

Netherlands

Netherlands

WDWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Serbia

Serbia

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Netherlands vs Serbia?

Netherlands is favored with a 85% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Netherlands's current form?

Netherlands have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Netherlands Win85%
Draw10%
Serbia Win5%
BTTS53%
Over 2.578%