Netherlandsvs
Greece
UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Netherlands xG
Expected goals
1.2
Greece xG
49%
Both Teams to Score
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
13%
0–1
11%
1–0
11%
0–0
9%
1–2
8%
2–1
8%
Home
Netherlands
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Greece
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.2 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Netherlands vs Greece?
Greece is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Netherlands's current form?
Netherlands have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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