Match Analysis

MontenegrovsLatvia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

82%
14%
4%
Montenegro winDrawLatvia win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game0.80
1.70Avg goals scored0.53
0.97Avg goals conceded1.52
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Montenegro xG

Expected goals

0.4

Latvia xG

30%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

18%

1–0

15%

3–0

14%

4–0

8%

2–1

7%

0–0

6%

Home

Montenegro

Montenegro

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Latvia

Latvia

LLDLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Montenegro vs Latvia?

Montenegro is favored with a 82% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Montenegro's current form?

Montenegro have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Montenegro Win82%
Draw14%
Latvia Win4%
BTTS30%
Over 2.553%