Match Analysis

MontenegrovsCyprus

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
29%
32%
Montenegro winDrawCyprus win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game2.00
1.70Avg goals scored1.29
0.97Avg goals conceded0.73
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Montenegro xG

Expected goals

1

Cyprus xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

11%

0–1

11%

2–0

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Montenegro

Montenegro

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Cyprus

Cyprus

WWDLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Montenegro vs Cyprus?

Montenegro is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Montenegro's current form?

Montenegro have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Montenegro Win39%
Draw29%
Cyprus Win32%
BTTS44%
Over 2.538%