Match Analysis

MontenegrovsArmenia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

66%
21%
13%
Montenegro winDrawArmenia win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.00
1.70Avg goals scored0.94
0.97Avg goals conceded1.24
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Montenegro xG

Expected goals

0.7

Armenia xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

2–0

13%

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

3–0

9%

0–0

7%

Home

Montenegro

Montenegro

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Armenia

Armenia

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Montenegro vs Armenia?

Montenegro is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Montenegro's current form?

Montenegro have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Montenegro Win66%
Draw21%
Armenia Win13%
BTTS44%
Over 2.551%