Match Analysis

MoldovavsSlovakia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
4%
93%
Moldova winDrawSlovakia win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.80
0.75Avg goals scored2.29
2.05Avg goals conceded0.50
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Moldova xG

Expected goals

3.8

Slovakia xG

25%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

15%

0–4

14%

0–2

12%

0–5

11%

0–1

6%

1–3

5%

Home

Moldova

Moldova

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Slovakia

Slovakia

DDWWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Moldova vs Slovakia?

Slovakia is favored with a 93% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Moldova's current form?

Moldova have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Moldova Win3%
Draw4%
Slovakia Win93%
BTTS25%
Over 2.578%