Match Analysis

MoldovavsKazakhstan

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

22%
21%
57%
Moldova winDrawKazakhstan win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.40
0.75Avg goals scored1.27
2.05Avg goals conceded1.77
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Moldova xG

Expected goals

2.1

Kazakhstan xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

10%

1–1

9%

0–1

8%

0–2

8%

1–3

7%

0–3

6%

Home

Moldova

Moldova

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Moldova vs Kazakhstan?

Kazakhstan is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Moldova's current form?

Moldova have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Moldova Win22%
Draw21%
Kazakhstan Win57%
BTTS61%
Over 2.564%