Match Analysis

MoldovavsFaroe Islands

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

15%
20%
65%
Moldova winDrawFaroe Islands win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.40
0.75Avg goals scored1.27
2.05Avg goals conceded1.27
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)1–4–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Moldova xG

Expected goals

2.1

Faroe Islands xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

11%

0–1

10%

1–2

10%

1–1

9%

0–3

8%

1–3

7%

Home

Moldova

Moldova

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Faroe Islands

Faroe Islands

DDDDW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 4D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Moldova vs Faroe Islands?

Faroe Islands is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Moldova's current form?

Moldova have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Moldova Win15%
Draw20%
Faroe Islands Win65%
BTTS52%
Over 2.558%