Match Analysis

MaltavsGibraltar

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
47%
15%
Malta winDrawGibraltar win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.80
1.30Avg goals scored0.52
0.64Avg goals conceded0.52
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Malta xG

Expected goals

0.3

Gibraltar xG

12%

Both Teams to Score

6%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

41%

1–0

24%

0–1

12%

1–1

7%

2–0

7%

0–2

2%

Home

Malta

Malta

WDWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.6

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Gibraltar

Gibraltar

WDDDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

0.5 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Malta vs Gibraltar?

Malta is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Malta's current form?

Malta have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (41% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 12%. Over 2.5 goals: 6%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Malta Win38%
Draw47%
Gibraltar Win15%
BTTS12%
Over 2.56%