Match Analysis

MaltavsAndorra

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

60%
31%
9%
Malta winDrawAndorra win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game0.20
1.30Avg goals scored0.31
0.64Avg goals conceded0.98
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Malta xG

Expected goals

0.3

Andorra xG

18%

Both Teams to Score

19%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

27%

0–0

22%

2–0

16%

1–1

8%

0–1

7%

3–0

6%

Home

Malta

Malta

WDWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.6

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Andorra

Andorra

LLDLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.3 / 1.0

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Malta vs Andorra?

Malta is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Malta's current form?

Malta have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (27% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 18%. Over 2.5 goals: 19%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Malta Win60%
Draw31%
Andorra Win9%
BTTS18%
Over 2.519%