Match Analysis

LuxembourgvsIceland

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
12%
85%
Luxembourg winDrawIceland win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
0.46Avg goals scored1.73
1.75Avg goals conceded0.23
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Luxembourg xG

Expected goals

2.5

Iceland xG

24%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

19%

0–3

16%

0–1

15%

0–4

10%

0–0

6%

1–2

6%

Home

Luxembourg

Luxembourg

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Iceland

Iceland

DWWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Luxembourg vs Iceland?

Iceland is favored with a 85% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Luxembourg's current form?

Luxembourg have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (19% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 24%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Luxembourg Win3%
Draw12%
Iceland Win85%
BTTS24%
Over 2.553%