Luxembourgvs
Bulgaria
UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.5
Luxembourg xG
Expected goals
1.1
Bulgaria xG
26%
Both Teams to Score
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
22%
0–0
20%
0–2
12%
1–1
11%
1–0
10%
1–2
6%
Home
Luxembourg
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.8
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Bulgaria
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.2
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Luxembourg vs Bulgaria?
Bulgaria is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Luxembourg's current form?
Luxembourg have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 26%. Over 2.5 goals: 22%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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