Match Analysis

LithuaniavsLiechtenstein

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
36%
28%
Lithuania winDrawLiechtenstein win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.20
0.95Avg goals scored0.00
0.69Avg goals conceded0.95
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Lithuania xG

Expected goals

0.7

Liechtenstein xG

28%

Both Teams to Score

19%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

22%

1–0

18%

0–1

16%

1–1

12%

2–0

7%

0–2

5%

Home

Lithuania

Lithuania

LWDWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Liechtenstein

Liechtenstein

LDLLL

PPG

0.20

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lithuania vs Liechtenstein?

Lithuania is favored with a 36% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lithuania's current form?

Lithuania have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 28%. Over 2.5 goals: 19%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lithuania Win36%
Draw36%
Liechtenstein Win28%
BTTS28%
Over 2.519%