Lithuaniavs
Azerbaijan
UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.3
Lithuania xG
Expected goals
0.4
Azerbaijan xG
9%
Both Teams to Score
3%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
50%
0–1
20%
1–0
15%
1–1
6%
0–2
4%
2–0
2%
Home
Lithuania
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.9 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Azerbaijan
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
0.7 / 0.3
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lithuania vs Azerbaijan?
Azerbaijan is favored with a 24% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lithuania's current form?
Lithuania have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (50% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 9%. Over 2.5 goals: 3%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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