Match Analysis

LatviavsMontenegro

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

7%
17%
76%
Latvia winDrawMontenegro win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.20
0.53Avg goals scored1.70
1.52Avg goals conceded0.97
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Latvia xG

Expected goals

2.1

Montenegro xG

35%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

16%

0–2

16%

0–3

11%

1–1

8%

1–2

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Latvia

Latvia

LLDLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Montenegro

Montenegro

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Latvia vs Montenegro?

Montenegro is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Latvia's current form?

Latvia have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Latvia Win7%
Draw17%
Montenegro Win76%
BTTS35%
Over 2.548%