Match Analysis

LatviavsCyprus

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

8%
24%
68%
Latvia winDrawCyprus win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.00
0.53Avg goals scored1.29
1.52Avg goals conceded0.73
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.4

Latvia xG

Expected goals

1.6

Cyprus xG

26%

Both Teams to Score

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

22%

0–2

17%

0–0

14%

0–3

9%

1–1

9%

1–2

7%

Home

Latvia

Latvia

LLDLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Cyprus

Cyprus

WWDLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Latvia vs Cyprus?

Cyprus is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Latvia's current form?

Latvia have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 26%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Latvia Win8%
Draw24%
Cyprus Win68%
BTTS26%
Over 2.532%