Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.6
Latvia xG
Expected goals
1.2
Armenia xG
32%
Both Teams to Score
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
20%
0–0
17%
0–2
12%
1–1
12%
1–0
10%
1–2
7%
Home
Latvia
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.5
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Armenia
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.2
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Latvia vs Armenia?
Armenia is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Latvia's current form?
Latvia have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 32%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from UEFA Nations League