Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Italy xG
Expected goals
1.8
France xG
53%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
11%
1–1
11%
0–2
10%
1–2
10%
0–0
6%
0–3
6%
Home
Italy
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.2
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
France
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.5
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Italy vs France?
France is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Italy's current form?
Italy have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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