Match Analysis

IsraelvsRepublic of Ireland

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

7%
18%
75%
Israel winDrawRepublic of Ireland win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.20
0.50Avg goals scored1.51
1.68Avg goals conceded1.02
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Israel xG

Expected goals

2.1

Republic of Ireland xG

35%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

16%

0–2

16%

0–3

11%

1–1

8%

1–2

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Israel

Israel

DDLLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Republic of Ireland

Republic of Ireland

DDWLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Israel vs Republic of Ireland?

Republic of Ireland is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Israel's current form?

Israel have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Israel Win7%
Draw18%
Republic of Ireland Win75%
BTTS35%
Over 2.548%