Match Analysis

IcelandvsEstonia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

24%
57%
19%
Iceland winDrawEstonia win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.20
1.73Avg goals scored0.49
0.23Avg goals conceded0.23
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.4

Iceland xG

Expected goals

0.3

Estonia xG

9%

Both Teams to Score

3%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

50%

1–0

20%

0–1

15%

1–1

6%

2–0

4%

0–2

2%

Home

Iceland

Iceland

DWWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Estonia

Estonia

DWDDL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.5 / 0.2

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Iceland vs Estonia?

Iceland is favored with a 24% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Iceland's current form?

Iceland have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (50% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 9%. Over 2.5 goals: 3%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Iceland Win24%
Draw57%
Estonia Win19%
BTTS9%
Over 2.53%