Icelandvs
Bulgaria
UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Iceland xG
Expected goals
0.3
Bulgaria xG
22%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
20%
2–0
20%
3–0
13%
0–0
10%
4–0
7%
1–1
6%
Home
Iceland
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.7 / 0.2
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Bulgaria
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.2
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Iceland vs Bulgaria?
Iceland is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Iceland's current form?
Iceland have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 22%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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