Match Analysis

HungaryvsUkraine

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

52%
36%
12%
Hungary winDrawUkraine win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.80
0.80Avg goals scored0.50
0.50Avg goals conceded1.32
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Hungary xG

Expected goals

0.3

Ukraine xG

16%

Both Teams to Score

14%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

27%

1–0

27%

2–0

14%

0–1

8%

1–1

8%

3–0

5%

Home

Hungary

Hungary

WWDLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Ukraine

Ukraine

LLDWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Hungary vs Ukraine?

Hungary is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Hungary's current form?

Hungary have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (27% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 16%. Over 2.5 goals: 14%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Hungary Win52%
Draw36%
Ukraine Win12%
BTTS16%
Over 2.514%