Greecevs
Netherlands
UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Greece xG
Expected goals
1.1
Netherlands xG
50%
Both Teams to Score
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
13%
1–0
11%
0–1
9%
2–1
9%
0–0
8%
2–0
8%
Home
Greece
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.2 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Netherlands
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Greece vs Netherlands?
Greece is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Greece's current form?
Greece have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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