Match Analysis

GreecevsNetherlands

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
26%
29%
Greece winDrawNetherlands win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
1.22Avg goals scored1.77
0.75Avg goals conceded1.26
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Greece xG

Expected goals

1.1

Netherlands xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

1–0

11%

0–1

9%

2–1

9%

0–0

8%

2–0

8%

Home

Greece

Greece

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Netherlands

Netherlands

WDWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Greece vs Netherlands?

Greece is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Greece's current form?

Greece have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Greece Win45%
Draw26%
Netherlands Win29%
BTTS50%
Over 2.546%